Saturday, February 16, 2013

Solar Energy Technologies

These are notes from Renewable Energy Futures Study.
  • Introduction
    • US population uses about 4,000 TWh of electrical energy each year
    • about the amount of solar energy that falls on US every few hours
    • fraction of generation is small but rapidly growing 3,400 MW in 2011
    • generating technologies began in 1970s, 80s
    • solar deployment initially dominated by CSP(Concentrating Solar Power) until PV became more popular around 2005
  • Resource Availability Estimates
    • Solar energy contains both a direct and diffuse component
    • direct accounts for 60-80% of surface solar insolation and is needed for high efficiencies for solar technologies
    • CSP is more reliant on direct components than PV or passive heating
    • Solar resource greatest in southwestern united states but generally high in most parts of the united states except alaska and pacific northwest
    • i.e. Germany is world leader in PV but has less than 40% efficiency as systems in LA
  • Technology Characterization
    • Solar Photovoltaics
      • PV convert sunlight into electricity through excitation from ground state
      • several technologies deployed at gigawatt scale
      • Emerging tech
        • Copper indium gallium diselenide thin films
        • concentrating PV
        • organic PV cells
    • Concentrating Solar Power
      • CSP uses lenses or mirrors to focus sunlight onto receiver to heat fluid
      • Parabolic trough systems, first commercialized in 1984, 96% of global deployment
        • 1 axis track linear receiver to focus sunlight
        • Dish uses 2 axis tracking
    • Other Solar Technlogies
      • water heating, space heating, cooling, and lighting, displace end use electricity
  • Technologies included in RE Future Scenario Analysis
    • PV Markets
      • grid connected residential rooftop PV
      • grid-connected commercial rooftop PV
      • distributed utility scale PV
      • central utility scale PV
    • CSP technologies
      • trough systems no storage
      • trough with thermal energy storage
      • tower systems with thermal energy storage
  • Technology Cost and Performance
    • steady trend of improvement
    • RE technology costs RE-ETI (renewable electricity evolutionary technology improvement)
      • represents more complete implementation of renewables
    • RE-ITI (renewable electricity incremental technology improvement)
      • represents only a partial achievement of potential technologies
    • Solar costs refer to bottom up estimates of materials, manufacturing, installation
    • Solar prices refer to market price of PV
  • Solar Photovoltaics Cost and Performance
    • since 1980s, factory gate module prices have decreased
  • Engineering Analysis of Advancement Potential for Solar Photovoltaics
    • PV Prices will improve from increasing module efficiencies, manufacturing throughput, reducing wafer thickness
    • PV market dominated by multi crystalline and mono crystalline PV dominates about 85% of global market
      • thin film cadmium telluride represents a significant other portion
    • Balance of systems costs for solar photovoltaics
      • BOS includes cost of inverters, transformers, support structures, mounting hardware, electrical protection devices, wiring, monitoring equipment, shipping, land, installation labor, permitting, and fees $1-4 per watt
      • Hard BOS
        • increase module efficiency, reduce size of installation
        • developing racking systems to enhance energy production and integrate them into modules
        • create standardized package systems and supply chains
        • improve inverter price/performance
      • Soft BOS
        • reduce supply chain margins
        • create standardized practices
        • expand financing plans
  • Solar cost projections in the SunShot vision study
    • in 2011 the Department of Energy launched the SunShot Initiative
    • push solar energy to become competitive with retail tech
      • PV target to reach $1 per watt for utility scale systems, and 1.25 for commercial rooftop scale PV, and $1.50 for residential rooftop
      • CSP targeted to reach $3.60 for systems with 14 hour storage
    • RE futures modeling scenarios do not reach these price and performance targets
  • Resource Cost Curves
    • curves developed for rooftop PV, distributed PV, central utility PV, and CSP
      • derived using solar resource characteristics from NREL's National Solar Radiation Database and the National Land Cover Data
    • The following table describes the supply curves for PV
    • Rooftop PV has technical potential of 700 GW in US
    • Distributed Utility PV has about 2,000 GW
    • Technical potential of central utility PV about 80,000 GW
      • land availability not likely to limit PV deployment
  • Output Characteristics and Grid Service Possibilities
    • Solar Electricity consists of 2 distinct technologies with different generation characteristics
    • PV provides DC in the range from 100-200W, then converted into utility grade power with 60 Hz frequency
    • PV fluctuation in production varies, even more than wind generation
      • Depends on cloud variability, short time variations
      • CSP systems have much less short term variability due to thermal inertia of system
      • CSP with storage viable to improve power quality, voltage, frequency stability
    • Advantages
      • PV generation curve does match peak load which occurs during the day
      • PV reduces line losses due to distributed generation
  • Technology Options for Power System Services
    • Utilize inverter's power electronics
    • reactive power, voltage control, and low voltage ride through
  • Large Scale Production and Deployment Issues
    • Environmental and social impacts
      • land area required for PV and CSP is very large
      • PV is modular, can be sited virtually anywhere, CSP has more specified locations
    • Water Use
      • CSP consumes water through evaporation, PV requires only maintenance water
    • Life cycle Greenhouse Gases
      • life cycle greenhouse gas emissions insignificant in comparison to power generation
      • 45.5g carbon dioxide for PV, 19.0g carbon dioxide for CSP 
    • Other Impacts
      • CSP often use oil or salt heat transfer fluid, which is not risk free
      • glare from PV can cause risk to nearby persons
  • Manufacturing and Deployment Challenges
    • scale up capital is necessary
    • availability of raw materials shouldn't be an issue, byproducts of electrolytic copper refining can be used for PV, cadmium telluride
    • Indium is byproduct of zinc refining
    • Material for silicon PV virtually unlimited
    • High up front costs, low operating costs
    • Human resources needed for design, manufacture, installation, and maintanence
  • Conclusions
    • fraction of solar usage is currently small but growing rapidly
    • it faces mainly the issues of high upfront cost, and regulations especially for rooftop pv, local legislature can limit growth
    • large scale deployment may cause landscape change

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